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Stephen says...

De Beers, the world’s biggest diamond miner, is planning for its turnover to halve this year, it emerged on April 8, 2009, in the latest sign of how the once-mighty group is struggling to cope with a downturn in an industry it no longer controls.

With diamond prices tumbling by at least 30 per cent over the past year, De Beers has cut production at its mines by 40 per cent year-on-year and mothballed its flagship mines in Botswana. Its two new Canadian mines, whose costs led the company to take on so much debt, lowered production soon after they opened in August.

As the diamond market faces one of its bleakest years in a generation, Christopher LaFemina, an analyst at Barclays Capital concluded that De Beers was “bleeding cash” and that its problems might be “under-appreciated” by the market. However, in a rare public fightback, the South African group, which mines 40 per cent of the world’s diamonds, has told the Financial Times it is convinced it can survive two more years of recession.

“Trading conditions are tough,” said Stuart Brown, De Beers’ finance director. “But because we saw it early and took very dramatic steps around the business, we are in a position to weather trade in 2009 and 2010 without any recourse to shareholder funds.”

De Beers disputed Barclays’ estimate that it lost $100m (£68m) per month in the first quarter this year. “Our plan for 2009 sees us remaining profitable, cash neutral and meeting covenants on our loans, even if overall turnover drops by 50 per cent,” said Mr Brown.

De Beers, whose control of the global diamond trade has slipped over the past decade, saw demand decline last year as consumers shied away from luxury goods. Demand plummeted, however, after the September collapse of Lehman Brothers froze financiers’ access to credit.

Questions about the privately held former cartel’s financial position multiplied after it accepted $500m in loans from its three shareholders, Anglo American, South Africa’s Oppenheimer family, and the government of Botswana, in February 2009.

The loans, interest-free for the first two years and replacing bank loans of the same amount, mark the first stage of refinancing De Beers’ $3.5bn in debt, including $1.5bn due in 2010.

For most of the 20th Century De Beers was synonymous with the diamond industry. It was founded by Cecil Rhodes, the British imperialist, who named his new company after the Boer farm where the first stones were discovered, and swiftly grew to dominate the market.

It began to lose its dominance in the 1990s as new mines were discovered outside southern Africa. De Beers is facing its first crisis without power to control supply, said Des Kilalea, diamond analyst at RBC Capital Markets, and the strain is showing.

Source.

Filed under: De Beers

Stephen says...

Austere is the new bling. First it was luxury goods; now it is sparklers. De Beers was selling record amounts of gem diamonds until demand collapsed in the final quarter of last year, leaving it with excess inventory at retailers and cutters. It has halted production at its mines in Botswana, which account for about two thirds of the group’s total, and cut back in Canada, Namibia and South Africa.

It gets worse. De Beers’ managing director Gareth Penny says this year’s production will be significantly reduced. What is more, the diamond producer is openly bearish about the sales outlook this year and sees a recovery only towards Christmas. That assumes the heavily indebted cutting centres and jewellers are still in business.

Some predict a cash crunch for De Beers, which faces $2bn of repayments on its $3.6bn debt by March next year. However, $500m of that is an unused standby facility, leaving only $1.5bn to worry about. The privately owned company’s accounts are opaque, but up to $500m of cash lurks within its $1.1bn net assets figure.

Forecasts for stocks and sales this year vary wildly, but if earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation halved to about $600m, it is easy to see why De Beers has already veered into cash conservation mode by hitting the pause button on production. It also more or less halted dividends last year: after paying Ponahalo, its South African black empowerment partner, it made back in shareholder loans some of the dividends paid to Anglo American, the Oppenheimer family and the Botswana government.

That may be enough to ease De Beers through a looming tight spot. Furthermore, demand from the US and China has not dried up completely, rich people are still getting engaged. Yet, waiting for a post-Thanksgiving splurge in the US and relying on emerging demand from Asia and the Gulf to outstrip decreasing supply sounds optimistic. De Beers will not shatter this year, but, even so, Anglo, the Oppenheimers and Botswana had better keep their chequebooks at the ready for further cash infusions.

Source.

Filed under: De Beers

rufus says...

You might think that selling diamonds in a down economy would be a tough game, but you would be wrong!

Here is how DeBeers is doing it, full page ad in the WSJ.

 

Filed under: debeers