Autumn haiku

copper radius
black-wet bark, instant of breeze
leaves slip under foot

Image by LadyBugrock on Flickr.
(haiku: japanese form of poetry, most commonly about nature, with
three lines; 5 syllables for the first, then 7, then 5.)

China's growth accelerates to 8.9% in 3Q

http://www.cdeclips.com/en/nation/fullstory.html?id=32296

NEWS: World Economic Recovery to Overwhelm Supply of Metals and Minerals?

(download)

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How to Install a Light Dimmer Switch

A light dimmer switch is a small, inexpensive piece of hardware that you can install in about a half an hour. It allows you to control the lighting in a room. Instead of flicking a switch to turn the light off and on, a light dimmer switch lets you turn...

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• How to Install a Light Dimmer Switch A light dimmer switch is a small, inexpensive piece of hardware that you can install in about a half an hour. It allows you to control the lighting in a room. Instead of flicking a switch to turn the light off and on, a light dimmer switch lets you turn...
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• Aquarium Lighting - What Are Your Options? Water quality (in which I include water movement) is top of the list in importance when it comes to keeping a saltwater aquarium. Closely following water quality is [tag-tec]aquarium lighting[/tag-tec], as much life on the reef depends on it. The lighting used for a reef aquarium is more intense than...

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• can someone summarize this arcticle? K i am not trying to give an excuse but my dad just pasted away from pacriatic cancer and my teacher wants this summary in so if someone can summarize this article to the best of there abiiltiesi really appreciate it Long known for its coal-burning power plants and oil...

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How to Install a Light Dimmer Switch

A light dimmer switch is a small, inexpensive piece of hardware that you can install in about a half an hour. It allows you to control the lighting in a room. Instead of flicking a switch to turn the light off and on, a light dimmer switch lets you turn...

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• How to Install a Light Dimmer Switch A light dimmer switch is a small, inexpensive piece of hardware that you can install in about a half an hour. It allows you to control the lighting in a room. Instead of flicking a switch to turn the light off and on, a light dimmer switch lets you turn...
• How to Fix a Light /caption]When we think about some common problems around the house, we don't often think about the small stuff: leaky faucets, long-term wood damage, or burnt-out light bulbs. But this "small stuff" is actually the exact kind of home repair that will consume most of your time unless you understand what...
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• How to Design an Exterior Lighting Plan When it comes to focusing on curb appeal, many homeowners get caught up with plantings and fixtures, but fail to find ways to highlight all of their hard work. Whenever you add something new to the outside of your home, you're going to want to show it off! Simple...
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Investors Europe Stock Brokers Gibraltar NEWS: BHP Billiton News FY2009 Reports

Copper Canisters - Fun with Software "Toys"

Copper Canisters
This morning, while waiting for my first cup of coffee to brew, I noticed these copper canisters sitting on the counter.  So, I whipped out my Nikon D700 with the 14-24 mm lens, set it on the countertop and fired off 5 bracketed shots. Then I played with several of my software "toys" :

• First, I exported the 5 images into Photomatix Pro to merge them into a single High Dynamic Range (HDR) image.
• Next, I exported the HDR file into Nik Color Efex Pro and used their "Glamour Glow" filter to soften the image.
• Finally, in Lightroom, I just tweaked the exposure a little and did some noise reduction to end up with this final image.

One of the things I like about this image is the way the four different textures work so well together:  copper canisters, granite counter, stone tile back splash, and wood cabinet.

Oil and Commodity Prices Rise

The Financial Times reported that oil prices rose above $60 a barrel for the first time in six months on May 12, 2009. Oil prices have jumped 85 percent from a five year low of $32 a barrel set in February 2009.

Other raw material prices also increased. Sugar rose to a three-year high. Wheat reached its highest price since January 2009. Tin hit a six-month peak.

The leading global commodity index, S&P GSCI, soared to its highest level since November 2008 and is up 20 per cent this year. The Financial Times article said that traders put the reason at China, which revealed a large increase in raw materials imports, reflecting in part the economic recovery but also Beijing’s attempt to take advantage of lower prices to stockpile commodities.

Iron ore and copper imports reached a record in April 2009, while crude oil imports hit their second-best month at the same time. Traders and bankers have reported a return of hedge fund money into the market and said big institutional investors such as pensions funds were making inquiries about commodities.

Corn prices hit a four-month high. However, Cocoa futures lost 3.9% as early speculative buying vanished and selling interest tied to falling demand gripped traders. Cocoa for nearby May delivery fell $96 to settle at $2,353 a metric ton on ICE Futures U.S. in New York as reported by the Wall Street Journal. Most-active July lost $93 to settle at $2,377 a ton.

The International Cocoa Organization on May 11, 2009, said demand for cocoa is expected to see its largest yearly decline in 50 years due to the global economic recession. U.S. cocoa import data drove that bearish point home, said Jack Scoville, analyst and vice president at Price Futures Group.

U.S. cocoa imports fell 30.6% in March 2009, from February, and were down 36.5% from one year ago, the Commerce Department said on May 12.  Global cocoa bean grindings, a demand signal, are expected to fall 6% in the year to September 2009, the ICCO said. Its previous forecast had estimated just a 2.1% fall. Despite waning demand, the ICCO still estimates a world cocoa deficit of 80,000 to 90,000 tons, as production declines.

Weather in top-grower Ivory Coast has been mostly beneficial for the crop, though concerns are beginning to mount over recent heavy rain and a lack of sunshine.

Commodities Have Little Correlation with Flows

Commodities Throw a Curveball by Liam Denning, WSJ.com

Despite big swings this week, oil prices have been stable, bobbing around the $50-a-barrel mark, plus or minus 10%. This is remarkable when you consider that fundamental supply and demand data have been bearish.

This month, the International Energy Agency raised the specter of early 1980s-style demand destruction. In terms of days of supply, commercial-oil inventories in the industrialized world are higher than in 1998, when crude crashed to $10.

Some take hope from the upward slope of the oil-futures curve, known as contango, interpreting it as indicating higher prices ahead. This view is misguided. Indeed, the extreme steepness of the current contango, with oil a year out trading 20% above the May 2009 contract, points to a more complex situation.

Energy economist Phil Verleger makes a robust case for the market impact of speculators, although not in the way you might think. Contrary to the widely held viewpoint that speculators were to blame for the spike in oil prices last year, movements in the price of oil and many other raw materials display virtually zero direct correlation with flows into and out of commodity funds.

This money, much of it passive, does, however, affect the shape of the forward curve. An upward-sloping curve is indicative of there being a surplus of oil relative to real demand. Funds buying oil futures push up forward prices, steepening the curve's upward slope.

For the traders selling the contracts to them, this presents an incentive to buy cheaper physical barrels and put them in storage for delivery at higher prices down the road, hence high inventories. This removes some oil from the market, putting a floor under spot prices. Supply cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries help in this regard, too.

Relying on investor optimism and cartel cohesion to maintain stable prices even as global economic forecasts worsen, however, requires nerves of steel. If faith in peak oil crumbles further, or financing tightens again, lower demand for futures would reduce the steepness of the forward curve. That, in turn, would erode profits on the oil-carry trade, leading speculators to liquidate inventories, likely hammering prices.

Optimism regarding industrial metals rests on similarly fragile foundations. Bellwether copper is up 43% since late February 2009. This head fake comes courtesy of China cannily stockpiling inventories of raw materials like copper and iron ore even as demand contracts virtually everywhere else.

Stockpiling, however, isn't consumption. The surge in Chinese imports hasn't been matched by increases in industrial production, suggesting metals are going into warehouses, not factories. Oddly, despite the country's apparently insatiable demand for iron ore, big price cuts are expected this year. Like the oil overhang, when those inventories get "mined," prices will likely suffer, transforming the head fake into a major headache.

Source.

Barron's Q&A with Derek Van Eck